Lessons
from U.S. Reserve Bank
BY
BAYO OGUNMUPE
THE United States
Federal Reserve Bank clocked a century in December 2013. In the designated bank
building called Federal Building, the outgoing chairman, Ben Bernanke performed
a solemn ceremony marking the occasion of the founding of the banking system in
1913. Bernanke was flanked by his illustrious predecessors Paul Volker, Alan
Greenspan and Janet Yellen the person billed to succeed Bernanke in February
2014.
During the occasion, Bernanke praised his predecessors
for their courage to withstand pressures and make tough decisions necessary for
the survival of the union. The history of the Federal Reserve Bank is very
important to Nigeria. This is because our federalism is modeled after the
United States. Therefore, we should imitate it, particularly because the
Federal Reserve Bank (FRB) is the biggest and most influential central banking
system in the world. The FRB operations affect the whole world.
Moreover, the FRB monitors the dollar, the
world’s reserve currency. Besides, the dollar is very vital to our sustenance
because it governs the global petroleum transactions, which is our basic life
line. In order to manage the economy of the United States more effectively,
Senator Nelson Aldrich in 1910 conceived a plan to create a central bank for
the states. The ensuing Aldrich Plan recommended a federal institution to be
run by bankers. Because bankers are reputed to be very corrupt, the U.S.
Congress jettisoned the bill.
But the courageous President Woodrow Wilson
in power at the time persuaded the Congress to revisit the project. Wilson,
being a retired university president understood the importance of the bank.
Within a month of his election as president, Wilson caused the Aldrich bill to
be passed into law.
As currently constituted, the FRB is an
independent financial institution, with a board of governors having executive
powers. It has about six other regional banks with some measure of independence
from the centre. The primary role of FRB is to supervise every banking activity
in the United States. It lays down monetary policy, controls prices ensuring
growth and full employment.
The Federal Open Market Committee of FRB
manages the monetary policies of banks. Indeed, the Federal Reserve Act of 1977
emphasized the dual mandate of FRB. It was charged with creating financial
stability in the nation and ensuring full employment within the framework of
financial stability and growth. In large measure FRB has achieved its mandate
in the last hundred years. To wit, it has succeeded in making the dollar the
world’s strongest store of value, thereby succeeding to Great Britain’s
imperial Pound Sterling.
Thus, FRB has become America’s indeed, he
world’s think tank on monetary and economic policy. But it has made mistakes
causing the world economy to wither between 1928 and 1940. Then, stock prices
reached a high plateau, with a prolonged euphoria in Wall Street where the Dow
Jones Industrial Index increased six fold in eight years. In a twinkling of an
eye, the bull metamorphosed into a grizzly bear, culminating in the economic
crash of October 1929. Within a week, millionaires became paupers. Unemployment
soared to unbelievable proportions, reaching forty per cent plunging the whole
world into recession.
Besides, by 1971, the gold standard had
collapsed in the Republican administration of Richard Nixon just like the 1929
depression in the Republican administration of Herbert Hoover. The collapse of
the gold standard was occasioned by a severe balance of payments crisis,
forcing President Nixon to devalue and abolish Bretton Woods fixed exchange
rate regime.
Another Federal Reserve gaffe was the housing
bubble of the 1980s which ran the world economy into a crisis from where we are
just recovering. This latest crisis uncovered large scale corruption in the
banking sector. A 2010 Bloomberg poll found as many as 40 per cent of people
believing FRB needed to be more accountable. It is believed that the operations
of the Federal Open Market Committee are corrupt and should be overhauled.
Moreover, FRB imposes groupthink on
economists, making it professionally dangerous for anyone to depart from the
received wisdom of the Bank. That was why the Nobel laureate, Paul Krugman
accused the bank of incompetence for failing to read the writing on the wall
with regard to the housing crisis until the bubble burst. Indeed research by
notable economists showed that the subprime crisis of 2008 and the great
recession were evidence that we have not been as smart as we thought we were.
Which was why bankers engaged in fraudulent practices amounting to billions of
dollars under the indulgent watch of the FRB.
Thankfully, today we have a better
understanding of the working of central banks. We now know that institutions
such as the IMF, the G20 nations, the Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
and the World Bank have roles to play in servicing the economy and safeguarding
global financial stability. But at the moment, creative monetary policies and
fiscal forbearance are needed to ensure long term sustainable development.
In the case of Nigeria where there are no
laws to govern financial transactions, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) must
be imaginative in running the economy for the good of the people. Price
stability cannot be the sole objective of a central bank. Growth, full
employment and social security should be the purview of the CBN.
Like the Nigerian Mortgage and Finance
Company, which CBN jointly established to provide affordable housing for our
people, CBN should also establish an Ebele Facility whereby small scale
industrialists can access interest free loans for full employment in Nigeria.
In the Nigerian Mortgage Finance Company, government and CBN sponsored loans
for housing in the Federation. The scheme is also backed by a World Bank zero
interest credit of $250 million with 40 years tenor, and 10 years of grace, a
very attractive facility. The mortgage firm will further float an additional
N50 billion bond as soon as operations begin. These bonds can thereafter
attract institutional investors for subscription.
In the same vein, the proposed Ebele Facility
can be tendered for state subscription and adoption. As the American experience
illustrates, successful central banking in the 21st century will
have to be knowledge driven. In our case, the new CBN governor must be very
knowledgeable. He or she must be both an experienced banking official and a
rigorous and up to date economist. He needs in-house research analysts who will
feed him with effective policy options.
Like the FRB of the United States, the CBN
needs to take full account of regional economic realities and learn how to
calibrate monetary policies to reflect our diversity while it expands the
frontiers of social welfare in the Nigerian federation. To be effective, the
CBN must be run by self confident governors able to manage politicians whose
instincts never transcend the calculus of immediate gain.
The CBN must be led by men and women of
integrity, courage and creativity, and who can manage knowledge while earning
respect and trust. A good Central Bank is never subservient to the politicians,
they are resolutely committed to accountability. They eschew secret, parochial
agenda, while working for the common good.
In this turbulent world, mistakes are bound
to happen, when they do, a responsible central bank official quickly owns up,
setting out to make amends. When there are no clear cut powers, the responsible
banker does what is proper and fair, creating a convention that could be
legalized later. As Janet Yellen takes over as chairman of the U.S. Federal
Reserve Bank in the new year, it is expected that she will consolidate on the
achievements of Ben Bernanke, her predecessor. She needs creativity to meet the
challenges of a world in which the U.S. dollar may no longer dominate owing to
the emergence of China as a world power. United States greatness had been
rooted in its great institutions, its commitment to the rule of law, freedom of
expression and the creative ingenuity of his people. With Yellen in the saddle,
we look forward to a great 21st century with her entrepreneurial
mindset and intellectual firepower. I urge her to lead the financial world with
detachment communicating clearly, without allowing herself to be mesmerized by
bureaucracy.
• Ogunmupe is a
columnist with The Guardian Newspaper in Lagos, Nigeria